1.

A black and a red dice are rolled. (a) Find the conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5. (b) Find the conditional probability of obtaining the sum 8, given that the red die resulted in a number less than 4.

Answer»

Let the first observation be from the black die and second from the red die. 

When two dice (one black and another red) are rolled, the sample space 

S = 6 x 6 = 36 (equally likely sample events) 

(i) Let E : set of events in which sum greater than 9 and F : set of events in which black die resulted in a 5 

E = {(6,4), (4,6), (5, 5), (5,6), (6, 5), (6,6)} ⇒ n(E) = 6 

and F = {(5, 1), (5,2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5,6)} ⇒ n(F) = 6 

⇒ E ∩ F = {(5, 5), (5,6)} ⇒ n(E ∩ F) = 2

The conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5, is given by P(E/F)

P(E) = 6/36 and P(F) = 6/36

Also, P(E ∩ F) = 2/36

∴ P(E/F) = (P(E ∩ F))/P(F) = (2/36)/(6/36) = 2/6 = 1/3

(ii) Let E : set of events having 8 as the sum of the observations, 

F : set of events in which red die resulted in a (in any one die) number less than 4 

⇒ E = {(2,6), (3, 5), (4,4), (5, 3), (6,2)} ⇒n(E) = 5 

and F = {(1, 1), (1, 2),….. (3, 1), (3, 2)…… (5, 1), (5, 2),……….} ⇒ n(F) = 18 

⇒ E ∩ F = {(5, 3), (6, 2)} ⇒ n(E ∩ F) = 2 

The conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5, is given by P(E/F)

P(E) = 5/36 and P(F) = 18/36

Also, P(E ∩ F) = 2/36

∴ P(E/F) = (P(E ∩ F))/P(F) = (2/36)/(18/36) = 2/18 = 1/9



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