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In a hockey match, both teams A and B scored same number of goals up to the end of the game, so to decide the winner, the referee asked both the captains to throw a die alternately and decided that the team, whose captain gets a six first, will be declared the winner. If the captain of team A was asked to start, find their respective probabilities of winning the match and state whether the decision of the referee was fair or not. |
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Answer» Let E1, E2 be two events such that E1 = the captain of team ‘A’ gets a six. E2 = the captain of team ‘B’ gets a six. Here P (E1) = 1/6 , P (E2) = 1/6 P(E1) = 1 - 1/6 = 5/6, P(E2) = 1 - 1/6 = 5/6 Now P (winning the match by team A) = 1/6 + 5/6 x 5/6 x 1/6 + 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 1/6 + .... = 1/6 + (5/6)2 x 1/6 + (5/6)4 x 1/6 + ... = (1/6)/(1 - 25/36) = 6/11 ∴ P (winning the match by team B) = 1 - 6/11 = 5/11 The decision of re free was not fair because the probability of winning match is more for that team who start to throw dice. |
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