1.

There are three events E1, E2 and E3, one of which is must and only one can happen. The odds are 7 to 4 against E1 and 5 to 3 against E2. Find the odds against E3.?

Answer»

Since one and only one of the three events E1, E2 and E3 can happen, i.e, they are mutually exclusive. 

Therefore, P(E1) + P(E2) + P(E3) = 1        ...(i) 

Odds against E1 are 7 : 4 ⇒ Odds in favour of E1 are 4 : 7

⇒ P(E1) = \(\frac{4}{4+7}\) = \(\frac{4}{11}\)                           ....(ii)

Odds against E2 are 5 : 3 ⇒ Odds in favour of E2 are 3 : 5

 ⇒ P(E2) = \(\frac{3}{3+5}\) = \(\frac{3}{8}\)                       ....(iii)

∴ From (i), (ii) and (iii)

\(\frac{4}{11}\) + \(\frac{3}{8}\) + P(E3) = 1  ⇒ P(E3) = 1 - \(\bigg(\)\(\frac{4}{11}\)+\(\frac{3}{8}\)\(\bigg)\)

= 1 - \(\bigg(\frac{32+33}{88}\bigg)\) = 1 - \(\frac{65}{88}\) = \(\frac{23}{88}\)

∴ Odds against E3 are \(\frac{1-P(E_3)}{P(E_3)}\) = \(\frac{1-\frac{23}{88}}{\frac{23}{88}}\) = \(\frac{\frac{65}{88}}{\frac{23}{88}}\) = 65 : 23.



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