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A speaks truth in 60% of the cases, while B in 90% of the cases. In what percent of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact? In the cases of contradiction do you think, the statement of B will carry more weight as he speaks truth in more number of cases than A? |
Answer» Let E1 be the event that A speaks truth and E2 be the event that B speaks truth. Then E and f are independent events such that P(E1) = 60/100 = 3/5, P(E1) = 90/100 = 9/10 ⇒ P(bar E1) = 2/5, P(bar E2) = 1/10 P (A and B contradict each other) = P(E1)P(bar E2) + P(bar E1)P(E2) = 3/5 x 1/10 + 2/5 x 9/10 = (3 + 18)/50 = 21/50 Yes, the statement of B will carry more weight as the probability of B to speak truth is more than that of A. |
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