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In a multiple-choice test, an examinee either knows the correct answer with probability P, or guesses with probability 1- P. The probability of answering a question correctly is 1m, if he or she merely guesses. If the examinee answers a question correctly, the probability that he or she really knows the answer is |
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Answer» Correct option B. mp/(1 + p(m - 1)) Explanation: P(he/she know correct answer) = p P(he/she guess correct answer) = (1 - p) × 1/m P(correct answer) = p + (1− p)/m P(he/she really know correct answer) = p/(p + (1 - p)/m) = mp/(1 + p(m - 1)) |
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