

InterviewSolution
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In a race, the odds in favour of horses A,B,C,D are 1:3, 1:4, 1:5 and 1:6 respectively. Find probability that one of the wins the race. |
Answer» Given, odds in favour of A is \(\frac{P(A)}{P(\bar A)}\) = \(\frac{1}{3}\) ⇒ \(\frac{P(A)}{1-P(A)} = \frac{1}{3}\) ⇒ 1 – P(A) = 3P(A) ⇒ 4P(A) = 1 ⇒ P(A) = \(\frac{1}{4}\) Odds in favour of horse B is \(\frac{P(B)}{P(\bar B)}\) = \(\frac{1}{4}\) \(\frac{P(B)}{1-P(B)} = \frac{1}{4}\) ⇒ 1 – P(B) = 4P(B) ⇒ 5P(B) = 1 ⇒ P(B) = \(\frac{1}{5}\) Odds in favour of horse C is \(\frac{P(C)}{P(\bar C)}\) = \(\frac{1}{5}\) ⇒ \(\frac{P(C)}{1-P(C)} = \frac{1}{5}\) ⇒ 1 – P(C) = 5P(C) ⇒ 6P(C) = 1 ⇒ P(C) = \(\frac{1}{6}\) Odds in favour of horse D is \( \frac{P(D)}{P(\bar D)}\) = \(\frac{1}{6}\) ⇒ \(\frac{P(D)}{1-P(D)} = \frac{1}{6}\) ⇒ 1 – P(D) = 6P(D) ⇒ 7P(D) = 1 ⇒ P(D) = \(\frac{1}{7}\) We have to find the probability that one of the horses win the race. ∵ only one horse can win the race ⇒ A ,B,C and D are mutually exclusive events. We need to find P(A∪B∪C∪D). ∵ A ,B,C and D are mutually exclusive events. ∴ P(A ∪ B ∪ C ∪ D) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) + P(D) = \(\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{5}+\frac{1}{6}+\frac{1}{7}\) = \(\frac{319}{420}\) Hence, probability that one of the horses win the race = \(\frac{319}{420}\) |
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