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India play two matches each with West Indies and Australia. In any match the probabilities of India getting 0, 1 and 2 points are 0.45, 0.05 and 0.50 respectively. Assuming that the outcomes are independent, the probability of India getting at least 7 points isA. 0.0875B. 1/16C. 0.1125D. none of these |
Answer» Correct option is A.0.0875 India wins = W = 2 pt India loses = L = 0 pt India draws = D = 1 pt Total matches played by India = 4 This means that the total points needs to be 7 at least Either India wins all 4 matches or India wins 3 and draws 1 the probability of WWWW = (0.5)*(0.5)*(0.5)*(0.5) = 0.0625 India wins 3 matches and draws 1: probability in that case = (0.5)*(0.5)*(0.5)*(0.05) = 0.00625 The 4 possible outcomes will be: WWWD, WWDW, WDWW, DWWW Total probability of India wins 3 matches and draws 1 = 4*(0.00625) = 0.025 P( total points have to be at least 7) = 0.0625 + 0.025 = 0.0875 |
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